Sondagens: 04/11/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
National	Marist	Obama 52, McCain 43	Obama +9
Michigan	Mitchell Research	Obama 54, McCain 38	Obama +16
National	Battleground (Lake)*	Obama 52, McCain 47	Obama +5
National	Battleground (Tarrance)*	Obama 50, McCain 48	Obama +2
National	Rasmussen Reports	Obama 52, McCain 46	Obama +6
National	Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby	Obama 54, McCain 43	Obama +11
National	IBD/TIPP	Obama 52, McCain 44	Obama +8
Ohio	Reuters/Zogby	Obama 49, McCain 47	Obama +2
Pennsylvania	SurveyUSA	Obama 52, McCain 43	Obama +9
Pennsylvania	Reuters/Zogby	Obama 51, McCain 41	Obama +10
Florida	SurveyUSA	Obama 50, McCain 47	Obama +3
Florida	Reuters/Zogby	Obama 49, McCain 48	Obama +1
North Carolina	Reuters/Zogby	McCain 50, Obama 49	McCain +1
North Carolina	ARG	McCain 48, Obama 49	Obama +1
Virginia	Reuters/Zogby	Obama 52, McCain 45	Obama +7
Virginia	ARG	Obama 51, McCain 47	Obama +4
Missouri	Reuters/Zogby	McCain 49, Obama 49	Tie
Nevada	Reuters/Zogby	Obama 53, McCain 42	Obama +11
Indiana	Reuters/Zogby	McCain 50, Obama 45	McCain +5
West Virginia	ARG	McCain 53, Obama 42	McCain +11

Sondagens – 03/09/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
National	Gallup Tracking	Obama 49, McCain 43	Obama +6
National	Rasmussen Tracking	Obama 50, McCain 45	Obama +5

Sondagem Nacional – 31/07/2008

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National

CNN

Obama 51, McCain 44

Obama +7.0

Barack Obama no Nº 10 da Downing Street

Especulação em torno de Jindal continua

Desta feita no programa da CBS, Early Show, a especulação em torno da possibilidade de Bobby Jindal, Governador do Louisiana, ser o running mate de John McCain continua.

Apesar da constante recusa do jovem Governador continuar a recusar tal possibilidade, a certeza que temos é que a especulação em seu torno não deve terminar até o nome ser anunciado. A par com Mitt Romney este é um forte candidato.

Sondagens Nacionais – 15/07/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
General Election:   McCain vs. Obama	Rasmussen Tracking	Obama 47,   McCain 45	Obama +2.0

General Election:   McCain vs. Obama	Quinnipiac	Obama 50,   McCain 41	Obama +9.0
McCain:   Favorable/Unfavorable	Quinnipiac	Favorable 50,   Unfavorable 31	Favorable +19.0
Obama:   Favorable/Unfavorable	Quinnipiac	Favorable 55,   Unfavorable 29	Favorable +26.0

Sondagem Nacional – 02/07/2008

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General Election: McCain vs. Obama

CNN

Obama 50, McCain 45

Obama +5.0

Sondagens Nacionais – 17/06/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
General Election: McCain vs. Obama	ABC News/Wash Post	Obama 48, McCain 42	Obama +6.0
General Election: McCain vs. Obama	Cook/RT Strategies	Obama 44, McCain 40	Obama +4.0
McCain: Favorable/Unfavorable	ABC News/Wash Post	Favorable 56, Unfavorable 39	Favorable +17.0
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable	ABC News/Wash Post	Favorable 63, Unfavorable 33	Favorable +30.0

“What’s Right”, “Right Track” e “Partner”

“What’s Right” é um anúncio que está no ar no Estado do Oregon. Dá destaque ao registo de Hillary Clinton em Washington e na forma como recusou a legislação Bush sobre a energia, bem como à sua luta para manter as centrais de gás natural fora da costa do Oregon.

“Right Track” diz que Hillary Clinton irá fazer com que os executivos (rendimentos mais elevados) paguem a mesma percentagem de imposto que paga a classe mais baixa.

“Partner” é sobre as soluções e a sua crença em que já é tempo de a classe média ter um presidente que tenha em conta as suas preocupações.

McCain fala dos seus objectivos

Em Columbus, no Ohio, John McCain definiu os objectivos do que espera ser o seu primeiro mandato:

Parte 1

Parte 2

Parte 3

Parte 4

Sondagens Nacionais – 18/05/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Democratic Presidential Nomination	Gallup Tracking	Obama 52, Clinton 41	Obama +11.0

Democratic Presidential Nomination

Rasmussen Tracking

Obama 46, Clinton 44

Obama +2.0

Sondagem Kentucky – 16/05/2008

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

American Res. Group

Clinton 65, Obama 29

Clinton +36.0

“2013”

Este novo anúncio de John McCain passa a mensagem de como será o mundo quando acabar o seu primeiro mandato em 2013.

Sondagens Nacionais – 07/05/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Democratic Presidential Nomination	Gallup Tracking	Obama 47, Clinton 46	Obama +1.0
Democratic Presidential Nomination	Rasmussen Tracking	Obama 47, Clinton 43	Obama +4.0

Sondagem West Virginia – 05/05/2008

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West Virginia Democratic Primary

Rasmussen

Clinton 56, Obama 27

Clinton +29.0

McCain apresenta proposta para Sistema de Saúde

Depois de a ter divulgado, no anúncio “Health Care Action”, McCain apresentou ontem em Tampa, na Florida, aquela que poderá ser considerada a proposta mais emblemática no campo dos cuidados de saúde: Um crédito concedido ao cidadão através do sistema fiscal, especificamente para questões relativas ao cuidado de saúde.

O tempo passa, os democratas teimam em não escolher o seu candidato, e estão a dar espaço de manobra ao seu adversário, John McCain, para que apresente as suas propostas. Cada vez mais, a vitória em Novembro poderá ser considerada uma miragem para os Democratas.

Sondagem Pensylvania – 18/04/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary	Zogby	Clinton 47, Obama 43	Clinton +4

Sondagens Pennsylvania 14/04/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary	ARG*	Clinton 57, Obama 37	Clinton +20

Pennsylvania Democratic Primary	Susquehanna	Clinton 40, Obama 37	Clinton +3
Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Clinton	Temple Univ.	McCain 40, Clinton 51, Und 3	Clinton +11
Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama	Temple Univ.	McCain 40, Obama 47, Und 5	Obama +7

Sondagens Nacionais – 12/04/2008

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Democratic Presidential Nomination

Rasmussen Tracking

Obama 46, Clinton 44

Obama +2

Democratic Presidential Nomination

Gallup Tracking

Obama 49, Clinton 42

Obama +7

Presidenciais na imprensa portuguesa

No Correio da Manhã, McCain nega relação extramarital. Leia aqui.

No Jornal de Notícias, Obama e Hillary divergem sobre Cuba e Irão. Leia aqui.

No Diário de Notícias, A milionária da cerveja. Leia aqui.

No Diário de Notícias, O “rochedo” na vida de Barack Obama. Leia aqui.

No Região Sul, Obama quer levar “mudança” a Washington. Leia aqui.

Sondagem Michigan: McCain vs Clinton; McCain vs Obama – 20/02/2008

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Michigan: McCain vs. Obama	Rasmussen	McCain 39, Obama 47, Und 14	Obama +8
Michigan: McCain vs. Clinton	Rasmussen	McCain 44, Clinton 44, Und 12	Tie

Sondagem Wisconsin: McCain vs Clinton; McCain vs Obama

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Wisconsin: McCain vs. Clinton	SurveyUSA	McCain 49, Clinton 42, Und 9	McCain +7
Wisconsin: McCain vs. Obama	SurveyUSA	McCain 42, Obama 52, Und 6	Obama +10

Paulo Pereira de Almeida sobre as Primárias – 28/01/2008

O Vice-Presidente do Instituto Transatlântico Democrático, Professor Paulo Pereira de Almeida, comenta as primárias democratas de sábado na carolina do sul e antevê as primárias republicanas na florida.

Resultados das Primárias Democratas na Carolina do Sul

Desta forma, Barack Obama conquista 25 delegados, Hillary Clinton 12 e John Edwards 8.

No New York Times

In the South, Echoes of Jackson’s Run

There are echoes of Jesse Jackson’s candidacy as the battle for the Democratic nomination once again roars across the South, focused squarely on African Americans.

Bill’s Day, Part 2

Bill Clinton spent almost 10 minutes explaining what’s wrong with No Child Left Behind, but perked up when asked how a President Hillary Rodham Clinton would deal with foreign leaders who do not respect women. ‘Get over it!’ he said.

Clinton to ‘Surrender,’ McCain Says

Painting Mrs. Clinton as the likely Democratic nominee.

Open Caucus: A View From Arizona

Our Open Caucus participant in Arizona gives us the scoop on a 10,000-person rally for Hillary Rodham Clinton near Phoenix.

Tough to Campaign, Bill Clinton Says

‘Stop the bickering,’ a woman tells Bill Clinton, as he starts another day of campaigning in South Carolina.

Clinton Leading Among the Unpledged

Many Democratic superdelegates are still undecided, but more who have made up their minds are expressing support for Hillary Rodham Clinton than for Barack Obama, according to a survey by The New York Times and CBS News.

Voters Show Darker Mood Than in 2000

Candidates are confronting an electorate unsettled about the United States’ ability to control its future.

Clinton Spells Out Her Economic Stimulus Plan

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton outlined her economic stimulus plan — tackling both a huge concern of many Americans and playing the optimistic good cop to her husband’s bad-cop routine against Senator Barack Obama.

Romney Leads in Ill Will Among G.O.P. Candidates

Within the small circle of Republican presidential contenders, Mitt Romney has become the most disliked.

Giuliani Finds Snowbird Friends in Florida, but Is He Winning Over Voters?

Rudolph W. Giuliani’s polling numbers in Florida have dipped, and money has become a worry, too.

Bill Clinton Accuses Obama Camp of Stirring Race Issue

Scolding a reporter, former President Bill Clinton said the Obama campaign was “feeding” the news media to keep issues of race alive.

Paulo Pereira de Almeida sobre as Presidenciais

O Vice-Presidente do Instituto Transatlântico Democrático, Professor Paulo Pereira de Almeida, faz uma análise dos vários factores em jogo, tanto no campo dos democratas como no dos republicanos.

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No New York Times

Even at Home, Backers Worry About Giuliani
As Rudolph W. Giuliani plummets in some polls, his rivals are encroaching on his own backyard.

Don’t Tie the Next President’s Hands
America’s interests demand that President Bush’s successor has maximum flexibility to plot a course regarding the war in Iraq.

Race and Politics
The last thing Americans need is a loony debate over whether it is more important to choose the first woman or the first African-American nominee for president.

The Anti-Charm Offensive
If the Republicans were a movie, they’d be one like “The Dirty Dozen” in which a bunch of oddballs get thrown together to accomplish a dangerous mission.

A Center Called McCain
Although John McCain is too conservative, and his temperament and age raise concerns, he is too honorable to dismiss at a moment so critical to America’s standing in the world.

Mr. Right
John McCain is more likely than any of his rivals to offer conservatives what they want.

José Reis Santos fala sobre as primárias no Michigan

O Investigador do Instituto Transatlântico Democrático, José Reis Santos, comenta as primárias de hoje no Michigan.

Veja o vídeo.

Veja ainda aqui a intervenção no Net Jornal das 16H, onde o investigador do ITD também fez uma intervenção sobre o tema.