Sondagens – 02/11/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Maine	Rasmussen	Obama 56, McCain 43	Obama +13
National	Rasmussen Reports	Obama 51, McCain 46	Obama +5
National	Diageo/Hotline	Obama 50, McCain 45	Obama +5
National	Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby	Obama 50, McCain 44	Obama +6
Ohio	Mason-Dixon	Obama 45, McCain 47	McCain +2
North Carolina	Mason-Dixon	Obama 46, McCain 49	McCain +3
Virginia	Mason-Dixon	Obama 47, McCain 44	Obama +3
Minnesota	Star Tribune	Obama 53, McCain 42	Obama +11
Missouri	Mason-Dixon	McCain 47, Obama 46	McCain +1
Pennsylvania	Morning Call	Obama 52, McCain 45	Obama +7
Colorado	Denver Post/Mason-Dixon	Obama 49, McCain 44	Obama +5
Michigan	Detroit Free Press	Obama 53, McCain 37	Obama +16
Iowa	Des Moines Register	Obama 54, McCain 37	Obama +17
Nevada	LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	Obama 47, McCain 43	Obama +4
Kentucky	Mason-Dixon	McCain 51, Obama 42	McCain +9
Utah	Deseret News	McCain 57, Obama 32	McCain +25
Ohio	Columbus Dispatch*	Obama 52, McCain 46	Obama +6

Sondagens – 31/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Obama 51, McCain 44	Obama +7
Georgia	Rasmussen	McCain 52, Obama 47	McCain +5
National	Marist	Obama 50, McCain 43	Obama +7
North Carolina	Politico/InAdv	Obama 48, McCain 48	Tie
Missouri	Politico/InAdv	McCain 50, Obama 47	McCain +3
New Hampshire	SurveyUSA	Obama 53, McCain 42	Obama +11
New Jersey	SurveyUSA	Obama 52, McCain 42	Obama +10
West Virginia	PPP (D)	McCain 55, Obama 42	McCain +13
North Carolina	Research 2000	Obama 47, McCain 45	Obama +2
Colorado	ARG	Obama 52, McCain 45	Obama +7
Colorado	PPP (D)	Obama 54, McCain 44	Obama +10
Michigan	PPP (D)	Obama 55, McCain 42	Obama +13
Minnesota	PPP (D)	Obama 57, McCain 41	Obama +16
Missouri	ARG	McCain 48, Obama 48	Tie
New Hampshire	Concord Monitor	Obama 51, McCain 44	Obama +7
New Hampshire	ARG	Obama 56, McCain 41	Obama +15
Georgia	Research 2000	McCain 47, Obama 44	McCain +3
Oregon	PPP (D)	Obama 57, McCain 42	Obama +15
New Mexico	PPP (D)	Obama 58, McCain 41	Obama +17
Arizona	ARG	McCain 50, Obama 46	McCain +4
Arizona	Research 2000	McCain 48, Obama 47	McCain +1
Alaska	Research 2000	McCain 58, Obama 39	McCain +19
Montana	ARG	McCain 49, Obama 46	McCain +3
Montana	Research 2000	McCain 48, Obama 44	McCain +4
North Dakota	Research 2000	McCain 47, Obama 46	McCain +1
National	GWU/Battleground	Obama 49, McCain 45	Obama +4
Pennsylvania	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 49, McCain 44	Obama +5
Minnesota	Research 2000	Obama 53, McCain 38	Obama +15
Michigan	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 54, McCain 41	Obama +13
New Hampshire	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 50, McCain 41	Obama +9
Indiana	Downs Center/SUSA	McCain 47, Obama 47	Tie
Oregon	Research 2000	Obama 55, McCain 39	Obama +16
Kentucky	Research 2000	McCain 56, Obama 39	McCain +17
Mississippi	Research 2000	McCain 53, Obama 40	McCain +13
Michigan	Det. News (EPIC/MRA)	Obama 50, McCain 38	Obama +12
New Jersey	Fairleigh Dickinson	Obama 53, McCain 35	Obama +18

Sondagens – 30/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
North Carolina	Rasmussen	Obama 50, McCain 48	Obama +2
Kentucky	Rasmussen	McCain 55, Obama 43	McCain +12
Montana	Rasmussen	McCain 50, Obama 46	McCain +4
National	FOX News	Obama 47, McCain 44	Obama +3
Wisconsin	SurveyUSA	Obama 55, McCain 39	Obama +16
Iowa	SurveyUSA	Obama 55, McCain 40	Obama +15
Indiana	Rasmussen	McCain 49, Obama 46	McCain +3
South Carolina	SurveyUSA	McCain 52, Obama 44	McCain +8
Pennsylvania	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 47, McCain 43	Obama +4
North Carolina	Civitas/TelOpinion (R)	Obama 47, McCain 46	Obama +1
Colorado	Marist	Obama 51, McCain 45	Obama +6
Minnesota	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 48, McCain 40	Obama +8
Wisconsin	Research 2000	Obama 53, McCain 42	Obama +11
New Hampshire	Suffolk	Obama 53, McCain 40	Obama +13
New Hampshire	WMUR/UNH	Obama 54, McCain 36	Obama +18
Arizona	NBC/Mason-Dixon	McCain 48, Obama 44	McCain +4
National	ABC News/Wash Post	Obama 52, McCain 44	Obama +8
Virginia	Marist	Obama 51, McCain 47	Obama +4
New Jersey	Research 2000	Obama 54, McCain 38	Obama +16
Indiana	Indy Star/Selzer	McCain 45, Obama 46	Obama +1
National	CBS News/NY Times	Obama 52, McCain 41	Obama +11
National	CBS News/NY Times	Obama 52, McCain 39, Nader 2, Barr 1	Obama +13
Nevada	Reno Gazette-Journal	Obama 50, McCain 45	Obama +5
South Carolina	NBC/PSRA	McCain 53, Obama 42	McCain +11
Minnesota	Minn. Pub. Radio	Obama 56, McCain 37	Obama +19
Indiana	Research 2000	McCain 47, Obama 47	Tie
Ohio	CNN/Time	Obama 51, McCain 47	Obama +4
Ohio	National Journal/FD	Obama 48, McCain 41	Obama +7
Florida	National Journal/FD	Obama 48, McCain 44	Obama +4
Pennsylvania	CNN/Time	Obama 55, McCain 43	Obama +12
North Carolina	CNN/Time	Obama 52, McCain 46	Obama +6
North Carolina	National Journal/FD	Obama 47, McCain 43	Obama +4
Virginia	National Journal/FD	Obama 48, McCain 44	Obama +4
Colorado	National Journal/FD	Obama 48, McCain 44	Obama +4
Nevada	CNN/Time	Obama 52, McCain 45	Obama +7
Arizona	CNN/Time	McCain 53, Obama 46	McCain +7
California	Field	Obama 55, McCain 33	Obama +22

Sondagens – 24/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
North Carolina	Rasmussen	Obama 48, McCain 50	McCain +2
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Obama 50, McCain 46	Obama +4
Georgia	Insider Advantage	McCain 47, Obama 48	Obama +1
Iowa	Rasmussen	Obama 52, McCain 44	Obama +8
National	Newsweek	Obama 53, McCain 41	Obama +12
Ohio	Politico/InAdv	Obama 52, McCain 42	Obama +10
Florida	Politico/InAdv	Obama 48, McCain 47	Obama +1
Ohio	PPP (D)	Obama 51, McCain 44	Obama +7
Ohio	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 45, McCain 48	McCain +3
Florida	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 46, McCain 48	McCain +2
Pennsylvania	Strategic Vision (R)	Obama 50, McCain 43	Obama +7
Georgia	Strategic Vision (R)	McCain 51, Obama 45	McCain +6
National	GWU/Battleground	Obama 49, McCain 46	Obama +3
Michigan	Det. News (EPIC/MRA)	Obama 51, McCain 37	Obama +14
Kentucky	Research 2000	McCain 55, Obama 39	McCain +16
Maine	Critical Insights	Obama 56, McCain 35	Obama +21
Alabama	AEA/Capital Survey	McCain 54, Obama 34	McCain +20
Oregon	Riley Research	Obama 48, McCain 34	Obama +14
North Carolina	Winthrop/ETV	Obama 45, McCain 44	Obama +1
Virginia	Winthrop/ETV	Obama 45, McCain 44	Obama +1
South Carolina	Winthrop/ETV	McCain 55, Obama 35	McCain +20

Sondagens – 22/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Kentucky	Rasmussen	McCain 52, Obama 44	McCain +8
National	FOX News	Obama 49, McCain 40	Obama +9
Florida	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 45, McCain 46	McCain +1
North Carolina	WSOC-TV	Obama 48, McCain 46	Obama +2
Virginia	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 47, McCain 45	Obama +2
Ohio	CNN/Time	Obama 50, McCain 46	Obama +4
North Carolina	CNN/Time	Obama 51, McCain 47	Obama +4
Virginia	CNN/Time	Obama 54, McCain 44	Obama +10
Wisconsin	Research 2000	Obama 52, McCain 41	Obama +11
Nevada	CNN/Time	Obama 51, McCain 46	Obama +5
Maine	SurveyUSA	Obama 54, McCain 39	Obama +15
West Virginia	CNN/Time	McCain 53, Obama 44	McCain +9
Alaska	Ivan Moore Res.	McCain 53, Obama 42	McCain +11
National	Associated Press/GfK	Obama 44, McCain 43	Obama +1
Washington	Elway Poll	Obama 55, McCain 36	Obama +19
Tennessee	Rasmussen	McCain 54, Obama 42	McCain +12
National	F&M/Hearst-Argyle	Obama 50, McCain 45	Obama +5
Maine	Pan Atlantic SMS	Obama 51, McCain 39	Obama +12
Wisconsin	WPR/St. Norbert	Obama 51, McCain 38	Obama +13

Sondagens – 21/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Colorado	InsiderAdvantage	Obama 51, McCain 46	Obama +5
West Virginia	Rasmussen	McCain 52, Obama 43	McCain +9
South Carolina	Rasmussen	McCain 54, Obama 43	McCain +11
North Carolina	Politico/InAdv	Obama 49, McCain 48	Obama +1
Nevada	Politico/InAdv	Obama 47, McCain 47	Tie
North Carolina	SurveyUSA	Obama 47, McCain 47	Tie
North Carolina	Civitas/TelOpinion (R)	Obama 48, McCain 45	Obama +3
Indiana	PPP (D)	McCain 46, Obama 48	Obama +2
Kentucky	SurveyUSA	McCain 54, Obama 41	McCain +13
Oklahoma	SurveyUSA	McCain 59, Obama 35	McCain +24
Wyoming	SurveyUSA	McCain 58, Obama 37	McCain +21
National	NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	Obama 52, McCain 42	Obama +10
National	NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	Obama 50, McCain 39, Nader 3, Barr 2	Obama +11
National	Ipsos/McClatchy	Obama 50, McCain 42	Obama +8
National	Pew Research	Obama 53, McCain 39	Obama +14
Florida	PPP (D)	Obama 48, McCain 47	Obama +1
New Jersey	Quinnipiac	Obama 59, McCain 36	Obama +23
Illinois	Chicago Tribune	Obama 56, McCain 32	Obama +24
New Jersey	Monmouth/Gannett	Obama 55, McCain 38	Obama +17
South Dakota	Mason-Dixon	McCain 48, Obama 41	McCain +7
Arkansas	The Arkansas Poll	McCain 51, Obama 36	McCain +15

Sondagens – 19/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Ohio	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 45, McCain 46	McCain +1
Minnesota	Star Tribune	Obama 52, McCain 41	Obama +11
Wisconsin	NBC/Mason-Dixon	Obama 51, McCain 39	Obama +12
West Virginia	NBC/Mason-Dixon	McCain 47, Obama 41	McCain +6
West Virginia	PPP (D)	McCain 50, Obama 42	McCain +8
Minnesota	Research 2000	Obama 52, McCain 39	Obama +13
Montana	Research 2000	McCain 49, Obama 45	McCain +4
Kentucky	Research 2000	McCain 53, Obama 39	McCain +14

Sondagens – 02/10/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
New Mexico	Rasmussen	Obama 49, McCain 44	Obama +5
Montana	Rasmussen	McCain 52, Obama 44	McCain +8
North Carolina	Rasmussen	McCain 47, Obama 50	Obama +3
Georgia	InAdv/PollPosition	McCain 50, Obama 44	McCain +6
Kentucky	Rasmussen	McCain 52, Obama 42	McCain +10
Nebraska	Rasmussen	McCain 56, Obama 37	McCain +19
National	Gallup Tracking	Obama 48, McCain 43	Obama +5
National	Rasmussen Tracking	Obama 51, McCain 44	Obama +7
National	Hotline/FD Tracking	Obama 47, McCain 42	Obama +5
Michigan	PPP (D)	Obama 51, McCain 41	Obama +10
Virginia	Mason-Dixon	Obama 45, McCain 48	McCain +3
New Mexico	SurveyUSA	Obama 52, McCain 44	Obama +8
National	GW/Battleground Tracking	Obama 49, McCain 44	Obama +5
National	Marist	Obama 49, McCain 44	Obama +5
Pennsylvania	Morning Call Tracking	Obama 50, McCain 41	Obama +9
Colorado	Ciruli Assoc.	Obama 44, McCain 43	Obama +1

Sondagens – 28/09/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Louisiana	Rasmussen	McCain 55, Obama 40	McCain +15
Connecticut	SurveyUSA	Obama 54, McCain 38	Obama +16
California	SurveyUSA	Obama 53, McCain 43	Obama +10
Kentucky	Mason-Dixon	McCain 53, Obama 41	McCain +12
Tennessee	Mason-Dixon	McCain 55, Obama 39	McCain +16
Wyoming	Research 2000	McCain 57, Obama 36	McCain +21
California	PPIC	Obama 50, McCain 40	Obama +10

Sondagens – 23/09/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Ohio	InAdv/PollPosition	McCain 46, Obama 46	Tie
California	Rasmussen	Obama 56, McCain 39	Obama +17
Kentucky	SurveyUSA	McCain 57, Obama 38	McCain +19
Colorado	PPP (D)	Obama 51, McCain 44	Obama +7
Hawaii	Rasmussen	Obama 68, McCain 27	Obama +41
Kansas	Rasmussen	McCain 58, Obama 38	McCain +20
Florida	NBC/Mason-Dixon	McCain 45, Obama 47	Obama +2
Michigan	Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP	Obama 48, McCain 44	Obama +4
Minnesota	Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP	Obama 47, McCain 45	Obama +2
Wisconsin	Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP	Obama 49, McCain 42	Obama +7
Colorado	Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP	Obama 49, McCain 45	Obama +4

Sondagens – 19/09/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Iowa	SurveyUSA	Obama 54,   McCain 43	Obama +11
Indiana	Rasmussen	McCain 49,   Obama 47	McCain +2
Maine	Rasmussen	Obama 50,   McCain 46	Obama +4
Michigan	Marist	Obama 52,   McCain 43	Obama +9
Alabama	SurveyUSA	McCain 64,   Obama 34	McCain +30
Alaska	Research 2000	McCain 55,   Obama 38	McCain +17
Kentucky	Research 2000	McCain 55,   Obama 37	McCain +18
Ohio	Marist	McCain 45,   Obama 47	Obama +2
Pennsylvania	Marist	Obama 49,   McCain 44	Obama +5

Sondagens – 12/08/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
National	Gallup Tracking	Obama 47, McCain 42	Obama +5.0
Kentucky	SurveyUSA	McCain 55, Obama 37	McCain +18.0
National	Gallup	Obama 45, McCain 38, Nader 1, Barr 1	Obama +7.0

Sondagens – 01/08/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Alaska	Rasmussen	McCain 48, Obama 42	McCain +6.0
Missouri	SurveyUSA	McCain 49, Obama 44	McCain +5.0
North Carolina	Research 2000	McCain 47, Obama 43	McCain +4.0
Kentucky	Research 2000	McCain 56, Obama 35	McCain +21.0
National	Pew Research	Obama 47, McCain 42	Obama +5.0

Obama volta ao Iowa

Em Des Moines, Iowa, depois de sair derrotado por larga margem no Kentucky e antes da oficialização da sua esperada vitória no Oregon, Barack Obama discursou no Iowa alegando que conquistou a maioria dos delegados eleitos pelos democratas.

O discurso no Iowa seria, certamente, o preparar de uma declaração de vitória, que não terá acontecido talvez pela derrota no Kentucky ter sido tão pesada.

Uma vitória para cada lado, com a matemática a dar, cada vez mais, razão a Barack Obama.

Discurso de Vitória no Kentucky

Depois de vencer as primárias do Kentucky com uma esmagadora margem, a Senadora de Nova Iorque discursou para uma multidão de apoiantes, a quem fez questão de lembrar todas as pessoas que ainda a apoiam apesar dos meios de comunicação social estarem já a declarar Barack Obama como o vencedor das primárias democratas.

Parte 1:

Parte 2:

Parte 3:

Resultados Kentucky

Democratas

Republicanos

“What’s Right”, “Right Track” e “Partner”

“What’s Right” é um anúncio que está no ar no Estado do Oregon. Dá destaque ao registo de Hillary Clinton em Washington e na forma como recusou a legislação Bush sobre a energia, bem como à sua luta para manter as centrais de gás natural fora da costa do Oregon.

“Right Track” diz que Hillary Clinton irá fazer com que os executivos (rendimentos mais elevados) paguem a mesma percentagem de imposto que paga a classe mais baixa.

“Partner” é sobre as soluções e a sua crença em que já é tempo de a classe média ter um presidente que tenha em conta as suas preocupações.

Sondagem Kentucky – 16/05/2008

Race

Poll

Results

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

American Res. Group

Clinton 65, Obama 29

Clinton +36.0

Sondagem Kentucky – 12/05/2008

Race

Poll

Results

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

Research 2000

Clinton 58, Obama 31, Und. 11

Clinton +27.0

Sondagem Kentucky 06/05/2008

Race

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Results

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

SurveyUSA

Clinton 62, Obama 28

Clinton +34.0

Mais dois

Recentemente, Barack Obama recebeu o apoio oficial de mais dois superdelegados.

Richard Machacek, do Iowa, é o quinto superdelegado do Iowa a apoiar o Senador do Illinois. Hillary tem o apoio de três. Ainda faltam mais quatro para o total de doze superdelegados que o Iowa leva à Convenção.

Sobre este endorsement, leia aqui.

Ben Chandler (na foto acima), representa um apoio chave num Estado, no qual a última sondagem dá uma vantagem de 36 pontos percentuais a Hillary Clinton. As primárias neste Estado vão ter lugar no próximo dia 20 de Maio.

Sobre este endorsement, leia aqui.

Sondagem Kentucky – 30/04/2008

Race	Poll	Results	Spread
Kentucky Democratic Primary	SurveyUSA	Clinton 63, Obama 27	Clinton +36.0

Sondagem Kentucky – 16/04/2008

Race

Poll

Results

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

SurveyUSA

Clinton 62, Obama 26

Clinton +36

Sondagem Kentucky – 31/03/2008

Race

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Results

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Kentucky Democratic Primary

SurveyUSA

Clinton 58, Obama 29

Clinton +29